【NBA專欄/李亦伸】灰狼vs.金塊系列賽,我看好灰狼

西區季後賽第二輪灰狼vs.金塊,很玄、很有趣,肯定無比精采對決。

DENVER, CO - APRIL 10: Nikola Jokic (15) and Jamal Murray (27) of the Denver Nuggets size up with Rudy Gobert (27) and Anthony Edwards (5) of the Minnesota Timberwolves during the third quarter at Ball Arena in Denver on Wednesday, April 10, 2024. (Photo by AAron Ontiveroz/The Denver Post)
丹佛金塊雙星Nikola Jokic與Jamal Murray。(Photo by AAron Ontiveroz/The Denver Post) (AAron Ontiveroz via Getty Images)

八成以上專家和球迷、媒體應該都會看好金塊,因為金塊團隊更完整、更有經驗,具備更好關鍵球決勝能力,而且Nikola Jokic和Jamal Murray雙星是無法防守組合。

湖人已經向世人證明:金塊難以擊敗。即使湖人超級雙星LeBron James和Anthony Davis都打出120%超強表現,湖人還是1:4被金塊淘汰。

看了灰狼季後賽4:0淘汰太陽的比賽內容和團隊,我對灰狼淘汰金塊,更有信心。

我看好灰狼幾個理由:

MINNEAPOLIS, MINNESOTA - MARCH 03: Rudy Gobert #27 interacrts with Karl-Anthony Towns #32 of the Minnesota Timberwolves in the first quarter against the LA Clippers at Target Center on March 03, 2024 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by David Berding/Getty Images)
明尼蘇達灰狼雙塔Rudy Gobert與Karl-Anthony Towns。(Photo by David Berding/Getty Images) (David Berding via Getty Images)

1、灰狼鋒線和高度、防守對位,可以箝制金塊。

213公分中鋒Karl-Anthony Towns、216公分Rudy Gobert,206公分前鋒Jaden McDaniels、Naz Reid、Kyle Anderson,防守、對位、功能性、速度都是一流,金塊前鋒Michael Porter Jr.、Aaron Gordon在攻防兩端都很難取得身材和對抗優勢。

2、灰狼Anthony Edwards會讓金塊防守遇上最大麻煩,他的能力和作用,不會輸給金塊後衛Jamal Murray,甚至有可能更可怕。

3、灰狼除了核心3-4名主力很穩定,另外3-4名角色球員也都能融入團隊,展現影響力,替補後衛Nickeil Alexander-Walker、Monte Morris,替補前鋒Kyle Anderson都能打出影響力,跟湖人角色球員和板凳球員「被用死了」完全不同。

4、灰狼防守效率聯盟第一,整個賽季灰狼都能打出最穩定、最強悍防守和對位,灰狼有最多、最頂級防守武器可以用來對付金塊。

金塊優勢有二:

第一、中鋒Nikola Jokic統治力和全能表現,Jokic無法防守,湖人拿他沒辦法,灰狼也可能拿他沒轍。

第二、後衛Jamal Murray的關鍵球和創造力。但面對灰狼Murray要更多對位和攻防互換的是灰狼Anthony Edwards,Edwards改變比賽能力和關鍵球一點都不輸給Murray。

PHOENIX, ARIZONA - APRIL 28: Anthony Edwards #5 of the Minnesota Timberwolves slam dunks the ball ahead of Bradley Beal #3 and Kevin Durant #35 of the Phoenix Suns during the second half of game four of the Western Conference First Round Playoffs at Footprint Center on April 28, 2024 in Phoenix, Arizona. The Timberwolves defeated the Suns 122-116 and win the series 4-0. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement.  (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images)
明尼蘇達灰狼球星Anthony Edwards。(Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images) (Christian Petersen via Getty Images)

Anthony Edwards的存在和比賽影響力,將會是這個系列賽「決勝點」,Jamal Murray在灰狼對位和防守體系下,很難再打出對湖人那種主宰力和關鍵決勝表演。

灰狼vs.金塊決勝關鍵就在雙方誰的武器更犀利,角色球員更完整,團隊合作、防守強度更好。

灰狼鋒線高度、對位和功能性足以壓制金塊,Anthony Edwards能力和對位,也能讓Jamal Murray威力和作用打折,甚至展現更大對位優勢。

西區團隊合作、核心球星、角色球員發揮最完整兩支球隊對決,我認為武器稍少的金塊,很難過灰狼這一關。

我的預測:

灰狼4:2淘汰金塊。

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